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Regulatory Submissions and Real-World Data Explained

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TECHNOLOGY EXPLAINER

Regulatory Submissions and Real-World Data
— What gets approved is not only the drug, but also how it is made and from what

Before a new drug reaches patients it has to pass a series of gates: notifying a clinical trial, running the trials, filing for approval and undergoing review. Japan, the United States and Europe each have systems that speed up this road, and they have also begun to use data from everyday clinical practice (real-world data) in regulatory decisions. The faster the road, the sooner manufacturing and materials preparation has to be brought forward.

Built on primary sources: publications of the FDA, EMA, Japan's Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare (MHLW) and Pharmaceuticals and Medical Devices Agency (PMDA), public information from ICH, and the text of US law (21st Century Cures Act) / Last updated September 2026

Regulatory submission and review are shown above routine-care data analysis
AI-generated conceptual image reused from the Japanese edition. The upper scene evokes submission and review; the lower scene evokes analysis of routine-care data. It is not a real patient record, review procedure or facility.
What this article covers
  1. Regulatory submissions and real-world data in brief
  2. How a new drug gets approved — from trial notification to approval
  3. The shape of the dossier — the five modules of the CTD
  4. A materials engineer's view (1): whose dossier does materials information go into?
  5. Expedited programs in Japan, the US and Europe
  6. Our calculation: how much does the review period shrink?
  7. A materials engineer's view (2): the faster the review, the earlier manufacturing must run
  8. Real-world data (RWD) and real-world evidence (RWE)
  9. Drug lag and drug loss
  10. Open issues, and what has not been settled
  11. Glossary / References / Claim-to-source audit
How claims are labelled in this article

Sourced = stated in published material (link given)
Our calculation = a figure this article derived from assumptions stated in the text
Not yet confirmed = a plan or target whose outcome has not been confirmed
Interpretations, such as how the regulatory systems are organized or what they mean for materials and manufacturing, are marked separately as Commentary.

Medical disclaimer

This article explains how drug approval systems work and where they meet materials and manufacturing. It does not evaluate the effect or safety of any individual drug and is not medical advice. Product names that appear in the text are quoted only where a regulator has published them as examples of how a system is applied. Please consult a healthcare professional about any treatment decision.

1. Regulatory submissions and real-world data in brief

  • What an approval application is: the procedure in which the evidence gathered in clinical trials and elsewhere is compiled and a regulator is asked to decide whether the drug may be sold. In the United States it is called an NDA (New Drug Application) or BLA (Biologics License Application), in the EU a MAA (Marketing Authorisation Application) and in Japan an application for manufacturing and marketing approval
  • What expedited programs are: to get drugs for serious diseases to patients sooner, Japan, the US and Europe have systems that run in three directions: giving richer advice during development, shortening the review period, and approving on early data and confirming afterwards (this grouping is our own organization)
  • What real-world data is: the FDA defines it as data on patients' health status or the delivery of health care that are routinely collected from a variety of sources, and gives electronic health records, claims data and product and disease registries as examplesSourced
The single most important line in this article

An approval review does not look only at clinical trial results. The FDA's investigational new drug (IND) application requires, from the very first stage, information on the composition, manufacturer, stability and manufacturing controls of the drug substance and drug productSourced. The FDA also tells companies whose drugs receive an expedited designation that manufacturing development may need to be accelerated to match the fast pace of clinical development, and asks them to propose a commercial production plan that can supply a quality-assured product at the time of approvalSourced. The faster the review, the earlier materials and manufacturing preparation must be brought forward: this is the heart of the matter for a materials engineer (our commentary).

2. How a new drug gets approved — from trial notification to approval

The FDA explains that shipping an investigational drug across state lines requires a legal exemption, and that the IND is the means through which the sponsor technically obtains this exemption from the FDASourced. An IND must contain information in the following three areasSourced.

Area of the INDFDA's description (summary)
Animal pharmacology and toxicology studiesNonclinical data that allow an assessment of whether the product is reasonably safe for initial human studies
Manufacturing informationInformation on the composition, manufacturer, stability and controls used for manufacturing the drug substance and drug product
Clinical protocols and investigator informationDetailed protocols and similar material for assessing whether early-phase studies will expose subjects to unnecessary risks

All Sourced (FDA, "Investigational New Drug (IND) Application" [Ref. 1]). The FDA says a clinical trial may not begin until 30 calendar days after the IND is submitted, and that during this time the FDA has the opportunity to review it from the standpoint of safetySourced.

Japan has a mechanism built on the same idea. According to the PMDA, a person who files a clinical trial plan notification for the first time for a drug with a new active ingredient may not ask a medical institution to conduct a trial, or start one, until 30 days have passed from the date of notificationSourced. The PMDA also publishes a sample of how to write up the evaluation and control status of DNA-reactive (mutagenic) impurities to attach to the notificationSourced. Impurity control is thus asked about from the very entrance of clinical trials (our commentary).

Laboratory, clinical and dossier scenes evoke the path to a regulatory submission
AI-generated conceptual image reused from the Japanese edition. Visual companion to Fig. 1. Conceptual stages of development and submission; exact requirements and jurisdictional differences are in the detailed diagram below.
New drug approval flow and the manufacturing information running alongside (concept) Upper row = clinical and regulatory gates / lower row = manufacturing and quality information required at each stage 1. Nonclinical Pharmacology and toxicity in animals 2. Trial filing US: IND Japan: CTN 30-day wait at first 3. Clinical trials Phase I → II → III Safety, dose and efficacy confirmed step by step 4. Submission US: NDA / BLA EU: MAA Japan: approval filing 5. Approval review Document review and site inspections Monitoring continues Manufacturing and materials information Composition, maker, stability, controls Scale-up and stability data build-up CTD Module 3 (quality) DMF / MF reference Site inspection and change control Drug substance and product for trials * Three IND areas and the 30-day wait: FDA [Ref. 1]; Japan's 30 days: PMDA [Ref. 2]; CTD structure: ICH [Ref. 3]; DMF and MF: FDA, eCFR and PMDA [Refs. 20-22]. * The five stages and two rows are our own organization; actual procedures involve more stages and parallel work.
Fig. 1. Concept diagram (vector drawing). The names and requirements of each stage are from the FDA [Ref. 1], PMDA [Ref. 2], ICH [Ref. 3] and the DMF and MF sources [Refs. 20 to 22]. The division into five stages, and the assignment of "manufacturing and materials information" in the lower row, are our own organization. CTN = clinical trial notification.

3. The shape of the dossier — the five modules of the CTD

Approval dossiers have been put into a common form across Japan, the US and Europe. ICH says that the agreement to assemble all quality, safety and efficacy information in a common format, the Common Technical Document (CTD), transformed regulators' review processesSourced.

ModuleContent (as described by ICH)
Module 1Administrative and prescribing information. Documents such as the application form and proposed labelling that are specific to each region
Module 2CTD summaries: the quality overall summary, and overviews and summaries of the nonclinical and clinical data
Module 3Information on quality
Module 4Nonclinical study reports
Module 5Clinical study reports

All Sourced (ICH, "M4: The Common Technical Document" [Ref. 3]). According to ICH, the CTD was agreed in November 2000 and became the mandatory format for new drug applications in the EU and Japan in 2003 and at the US FDA in 2017. Modules 2 to 5 are intended to be common to all regionsSourced.

4. A materials engineer's view (1): whose dossier does materials information go into?

What a materials engineer should take from this: DMFs and MFs let know-how be protected while still being reviewed

When you supply an excipient or a container material to a drug company, whose application dossier carries the details of how that material is made and quality-controlled? Disclosing everything to the drug company would let the materials maker's know-how escape. The answer is the DMF (US) and the MF (Japan).

  • The US DMF: the FDA describes a DMF as a submission to the FDA that provides confidential, detailed information about the facilities, processes or articles used in the manufacturing, processing, packaging and storing of drugs. A DMF is not required by law, it is neither approved nor disapproved, and its technical content is reviewed as part of the review of an application that refers to it (an NDA, BLA, IND and so on)Sourced
  • What a DMF can contain: the regulation (21 CFR 314.420) lists drug substances and intermediates and the materials used to make them, packaging materials, and excipients, colorants, flavors and the materials used to make themSourced
  • The Japanese MF: the PMDA describes the Master File (MF) system as one in which the manufacturer of a drug substance registers information on manufacturing methods, manufacturing control and quality control in advance, so that it can be used in approval review without disclosing intellectual property (know-how) to the applicant for the finished drug. Registration is voluntary; a foreign manufacturer must appoint a domestic administrator for drug substances in Japan and write the documents in JapaneseSourced

What is easy to overlook is how changes are handled. 21 CFR 314.420 says that when the holder of a DMF adds, changes or deletes information, it must notify in writing each party that has been authorized to refer to that informationSourced.

In other words, a "process improvement" inside a materials maker is a "regulatory event" for the drug-company customer. A change that for an ordinary industrial material stays within quality assurance can, for a pharmaceutical material, ripple into the customer's approved particulars. This is why advance notice and information about changes carry so much weight in the pharmaceutical materials business (our commentary). Our explainers on GMP and on CDMOs also cover how manufacturing and quality responsibilities are divided.

5. Expedited programs in Japan, the US and Europe

Japan, the US and Europe each have systems for getting drugs for serious diseases to patients sooner. The names differ, but sorting them by what is being speeded up makes the picture clearer (this organization is our own).

What is speeded upUnited States (FDA)EU (EMA)Japan (MHLW and PMDA)
Richer advice during developmentBreakthrough Therapy: for drugs for serious conditions where preliminary clinical evidence may show a substantial improvement over existing therapy. Intensive guidance from Phase I and involvement of senior managers
Fast Track
PRIME (launched 2016): targets unmet medical needs. Early appointment of a rapporteur, a kick-off meeting and iterative scientific adviceSakigake designation (a pilot from FY2015, put into law by a 2019 amendment): priority consultation, enhanced pre-assessment and a concierge
Shorter review timePriority Review: the goal is action within 6 months of receipt (standard review is 10 months)Accelerated assessment: an evaluation that can normally take up to 210 days is cut to 150 days (excluding clock stops)Sakigake priority review: the target for total review time goes from 12 months to 6 months
Approval on early data, confirmed laterAccelerated Approval: approval based on, for example, a surrogate endpoint that is reasonably likely to predict benefit. Confirmatory trials are requiredConditional marketing authorisation: approval on less clinical data than normal. Valid for 1 year and renewed annually, with specific obligationsConditional approval: approval without requiring confirmatory clinical trial results, on condition of post-marketing studies and the like

All Sourced (FDA [Refs. 4, 5], EMA [Refs. 7, 8, 9], MHLW [Refs. 10, 11, 12]). The assignment to three rows is our own organization; each system can combine several characters (for example, Japan's Sakigake designation includes both consultation and review).

(1) United States — four expedited programs

The FDA's May 2014 guidance compares four programs: Fast Track, Breakthrough Therapy, Accelerated Approval and Priority ReviewSourced. Breakthrough Therapy designation was added to section 506(a) of the FD&C Act by section 902 of the 2012 FDA Safety and Innovation Act (FDASIA)Sourced. Priority Review sets the goal of taking action within 6 months of receipt (10 months under standard review)Sourced. A footnote in the guidance explains that under the PDUFA V "Program" (which covers new molecular entity NDAs and original BLAs received from 1 October 2012 to 30 September 2017), the review clock starts at the end of the 60-calendar-day filing review period that begins on the date of receiptSourced. How Accelerated Approval works, and surrogate endpoints, are covered in our explainer on biomarkers and clinical endpoints.

(2) EU — PRIME, accelerated assessment and conditional marketing authorisation

The EMA says that evaluating a marketing authorisation application under the centralised procedure can take up to 210 days, not counting the clock stops while the applicant provides additional information, and that the CHMP can shorten this to 150 days if sufficient justification is givenSourced. A conditional marketing authorisation is granted on less comprehensive clinical data than normally required where the benefit of immediate availability outweighs the risk inherent in the fact that additional data are still required; it is valid for one year and renewable annually, and can be converted to a standard marketing authorisation once specific obligations are fulfilledSourced. For medicines intended for public health emergencies such as a pandemic, the EMA says less comprehensive pharmaceutical and non-clinical data may also be acceptedSourced.

(3) Japan — Sakigake designation and conditional approval

Under the first designation requirement for Sakigake (pioneering medicinal products), the innovativeness of the therapy, the MHLW lists, alongside a new mechanism of action and others, the use of an innovative drug delivery systemSourced. A drug delivery system (DDS) can itself, under the system, be grounds for innovativeness (our commentary). The fourth requirement is the intent and ability to file in Japan ahead of the rest of the world (or simultaneously), and an application within 3 months of the filing date in the first country is regarded as simultaneousSourced.

The conditional approval notification (31 August 2020, revised 23 October 2024) targets drugs and similar products for serious diseases that are clearly medically superior to existing methods and for which confirmatory clinical trials are difficult to run, or would take a considerable time because patient numbers are small or for other reasonsSourced. It says that confirmation after approval need not be limited to clinical trials, and that studies using medical information databases such as MID-NET, or patient registries, can also be usedSourced. This connects to the real-world data of Chapter 8.

Three scenes evoke distinct expedited review pathways
AI-generated conceptual image reused from the Japanese edition. Visual companion to Fig. 2. Expedited programs differ in eligibility and legal effect. This picture does not depict the actual programs or their timelines.
Expedited programs in Japan, US and EU, by what they speed up (our organization) United States (FDA) EU (EMA) Japan Richer advice during development Shorter review time Approve on early data, confirm later Breakthrough Therapy Fast Track PRIME Started in 2016 Sakigake designation Priority advice, pre-assessment Priority Review 10 months → 6 months Accelerated assessment 210 days → 150 days Sakigake priority review 12 months → 6 months Accelerated Approval Confirmatory trial required Conditional authorisation Valid 1 year, renewed yearly Conditional approval Post-marketing studies required * Contents of each system: FDA [Refs. 4, 5], EMA [Refs. 7, 8, 9], MHLW [Refs. 10, 11, 12]. * The three-row grouping is our own. How periods are defined (start point, clock stops) differs by system.
Fig. 2. Concept diagram (vector drawing). The names, periods and conditions of each system are from the FDA [Refs. 4, 5], EMA [Refs. 7, 8, 9] and MHLW [Refs. 10, 11, 12]. The assignment to three groups by "what is speeded up" is our own organization, not an official classification of the systems. Because the definitions of the periods differ, placing them side by side is not a direct comparison.

6. Our calculation: how much does the review period shrink?

Our calculation: a guide to the time from filing to action

We put the published target periods on a common footing in months and compare themOur calculation.

  • United States: 60-calendar-day filing review (about 2 months) + 10 months standard = about 12 months. With Priority Review, about 2 months + 6 months = about 8 months. The reduction is (12 - 8) ÷ 12 ≈ 33%
  • EU: 210 days ÷ 30.4 days ≈ 6.9 months; 150 days ≈ 4.9 months. The reduction is 60 ÷ 210 ≈ 29%
  • Japan: the target for total review time goes from 12 months to 6 months. The reduction is 50%

Assumptions and limits: the US 60 days is the PDUFA V "Program" mechanism explained in the 2014 guidance and does not describe current practice. The EU days are the regulator's own time and exclude clock stops (waiting for the applicant's replies), so actual calendar time is longer. Japan's 12 and 6 months are targets for total review time. Because the definitions differ, these figures are not meant to rank one country against another.

Calendars evoke the difference between standard and expedited review
AI-generated conceptual image reused from the Japanese edition. Visual companion to Fig. 3. Calendars provide an impression of review time, not a measured duration. The exact figures and sources remain in the diagram below.
Standard vs expedited review targets (our calculation) Bar length is proportional to months (1 month = 34 px). Gray = standard, colored = expedited US standard US priority review EU standard EU accelerated Japan standard goal Japan Sakigake about 12 months about 8 months (-33%) 6.9 months (210 days) 4.9 months (150 days, -29%) 12 months 6 months (-50%) * 10 months, 6 months and 60 days: FDA [Ref. 4]; 210 and 150 days: EMA [Ref. 8]; 12 and 6 months: MHLW [Ref. 11]. * Month conversions and reductions are our calculation. EU figures exclude clock stops; the US 60 days reflects PDUFA V. * Definitions differ, so this is not a comparison between countries. It shows the standard-versus-expedited gap within each country.
Fig. 3. Drawn partly from our calculation (vector drawing). The underlying periods are from the FDA [Ref. 4], EMA [Ref. 8] and MHLW [Ref. 11]. The conversion to months (30.4 days = 1 month) and the reductions were calculated for this article and are not published values. Each country's period differs in its start point and treatment of interruptions and cannot be used for side-by-side comparison.

How much are these programs actually used? According to the FDA (CDER) annual report, of the 46 novel drugs (new active ingredients and new biologics) approved in 2025Sourced, expedited programs were used as followsSourced.

Stacks of dossiers evoke the use of expedited review programs
AI-generated conceptual image reused from the Japanese edition. Visual companion to Fig. 4. The number and size of documents do not encode product counts or percentages. See the sourced diagram below for those figures.
FDA (CDER) 2025: 46 novel drugs and their use of expedited programs Bar length is proportional to the count (46 drugs = 460 px). One drug can use several programs One or more Priority Review Fast Track Breakthrough Therapy Accelerated Approval None of them 33 drugs (72%) 21 drugs (46%) 18 drugs (39%) 15 drugs (33%) 11 drugs (24%) 13 drugs (28%) * 46 drugs and the counts and shares per program: FDA (CDER) annual report [Ref. 23]. * "None of them", 13 drugs (28%), is our calculation: 46 - 33 = 13. * This does not show the efficacy or safety of any individual drug.
Fig. 4. Drawn partly from our calculation (vector drawing). The counts and shares are from FDA (CDER), "New Drug Therapy Approvals 2025" [Ref. 23]. The 13 drugs (28%) using none of the programs were calculated by subtraction for this article.

The same report also records that of the 46 drugs, 32 (70%) were approved in the US before any other country, 39 (85%) were approved in the first review cycle and 44 (96%) met their PDUFA goal datesSourced. It also says the FDA took its first actions under the new "Commissioner's National Priority Voucher (CNPV)" program, which aims to cut review time from 10-12 months to 1-2 monthsSourced. How widely this new program will be used from here is Not yet confirmed.

7. A materials engineer's view (2): the faster the review, the earlier manufacturing must run

What a materials engineer should take from this: "fast clinical development" means "a shorter preparation period for materials"

The FDA's guidance on expedited programs has a section titled "Manufacturing and product quality considerations." The main points are as followsSourced.

  • A company whose product receives an expedited designation may need to speed up manufacturing development to match the fast pace of the clinical program
  • Once designated, it should be ready to propose a commercial production plan that can supply a quality-assured product at the time of approval, taking into account expected market demand, manufacturing facilities and lifecycle process validation
  • It should submit the CMC (chemistry, manufacturing and controls) section early and prepare for inspection. It may need to coordinate with contract manufacturers so that manufacturing sites and equipment are ready for inspection while the clinical section is under review
  • On the other hand, the FDA may show flexibility, case by case, on matters such as updating stability data, validation policy, inspection planning and manufacturing scale-up

Japan's Sakigake designation points the same way. On quality, the MHLW asks applicants to use Sakigake consultations so that a GMP inspection can be carried out promptly after filing, and to prepare, at the time of filing, information on when production-scale validation data can be submitted and on which dates the site can accommodate a GMP inspectionSourced. The PMDA also gives the preparation of the applicant's manufacturing system as part of the purpose of the systemSourced.

From this, the reality for those who supply materials comes into view (our commentary).

  • Stability data can only be made with time: even if review goes from 12 months to 6, long-term storage tests on a material do not speed up. The storage-period data in hand at the time of filing decides the outcome, and starting material supply earlier pays off directly
  • Scale-up runs in parallel with the clinic: between a small amount for trials and commercial volume, particle size, impurities and lot-to-lot variation can show up differently even for the same material. The question is whether commercial-scale material can be produced stably before approval
  • A DDS can be grounds for innovativeness, yet it brings in new materials: that an "innovative drug delivery system" is among the Sakigake requirementsSourced is an opportunity for the materials side, but also means the burden of assembling quality data for an unprecedented material in a short time

In terms of the Chapter 6 calculation, for Sakigake drugs in Japan the target review period is halvedOur calculation. Technology that produces clinical results quickly is the drug company's job, but getting the material supply system and quality data ready in time is the materials maker's job.

8. Real-world data (RWD) and real-world evidence (RWE)

(1) Definitions and legal standing

The FDA defines RWE as clinical evidence about the usage and potential benefits or risks of a medical product, derived from analysis of RWDSourced. So RWD is the raw material (data), and RWE is the conclusion drawn from it (evidence) (our commentary).

The text of the 21st Century Cures Act (enacted 13 December 2016)

Section 3022 of the Act adds section 505F, "Utilizing Real World Evidence," to the FD&C Act and requires the Secretary of Health and Human Services to establish a program to evaluate the potential use of RWE "to help to support the approval of a new indication for a drug approved under section 505(c)" and "to help to support or satisfy postapproval study requirements"Sourced.

The Act defines RWE as "data regarding the usage, or the potential benefits or risks, of a drug derived from sources other than randomized clinical trials." The framework is to describe the sources, including ongoing safety surveillance, observational studies, registries and claims, the gaps in data collection, and the standards and methodologies for collection and analysis, and a draft framework was to be established within 2 years of enactmentSourced.

In response, the FDA created its RWE Program framework in 2018, and says it will evaluate use for new indications of approved drugs and for postapproval study requirementsSourced. The FDA also writes that it has long used RWD and RWE in postapproval safety monitoring and assessment, but that use in support of effectiveness has been more limitedSourced.

(2) An example actually used for approval

On 16 July 2021 the FDA approved a new use of Prograf (tacrolimus), an immunosuppressant that prevents rejection after transplantation: for lung transplant. The FDA describes this as an approval based on a non-interventional (observational) study that provided real-world evidence of effectivenessSourced.

  • Data source: RWD from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR), supported by the US Department of Health and Human Services: data collected on all lung transplants in the United States, supplemented with Social Security Administration death recordsSourced
  • Why it was accepted: the FDA says this shows that a well-designed non-interventional study based on fit-for-purpose RWD and compared with an appropriate control can be considered an "adequate and well-controlled" study under FDA regulations. The comparator was the well-documented natural history without (or with minimal) immunosuppressive therapySourced
  • Other evidence: randomized controlled trials in other solid-organ transplants were added as confirmatory evidenceSourced

What matters is that RWD did not decide the approval alone: the conditions "the outcome is objective and the natural history that serves as the control is well known" and evidence from other studies came together (our commentary). This article does not evaluate the effect or safety of this drug.

(3) RWD infrastructure in the EU and Japan

RegionInfrastructureWhat has been published
EUDARWIN EUEstablished in 2022 by the EMA and the European regulatory network. It uses real-world databases from physicians, hospitals, registries and so on to provide evidence on the use, safety and effectiveness of medicines. The EMA gives about 250 million patients providing data (2026), about 110 studies delivered (since 2022) and about 40 data partners (as of 2026). Uses of its studies include supporting the monitoring and prevention of shortages
JapanMID-NETA medical information database that can use electronic medical records (including ordering and test results), insurance claims (receipts) and Diagnosis Procedure Combination (DPC) data held by 9 cooperating medical institutions in Japan. Managed and operated by the PMDA. It is said to be usable also for post-approval studies under conditional approval

All Sourced (EMA [Ref. 16], PMDA [Ref. 17], MHLW [Ref. 12]).

Routine-care data are analysed into real-world evidence
AI-generated conceptual image reused from the Japanese edition. Visual companion to Fig. 5. Real-world data can support evidence generation; this picture contains no actual patient information or regulator decision.
From RWD (data) to RWE (evidence), and on to regulatory decisions (concept) RWD (data) Electronic health records Insurance claims data Product and disease registries Digital health technologies Routinely collected records of health status and care Analysis Is the data fit for purpose? Suitable control used? Well-designed non-interventional study? → RWE (evidence) Regulatory uses Post-approval safety surveillance (long used) New indication, approved drug Post-approval study requirements Conditional-approval follow-up (Japan) e.g. 2021 lung transplant indication * RWD and RWE definitions, example sources, safety surveillance: FDA [Ref. 14]; new indications and post-approval studies: Cures Act [Ref. 13]; fit-for-purpose and non-interventional studies, 2021 example: FDA [Ref. 15]; Japan: MHLW [Ref. 12]. * The three-step arrangement is our own; actual evaluation weighs data quality, study design and other evidence together.
Original diagram for Fig. 5 (vector drawing). The definitions, sources and uses are from the FDA [Refs. 14, 15], the 21st Century Cures Act [Ref. 13] and the MHLW [Ref. 12]. The three-step arrangement "data, analysis, use" is our own.
An addition from the materials and measurement side (our commentary)

The FDA lists digital health technologies among the sources of RWDSourced. When data from wearable sensors or home measuring devices are used in regulatory decisions, drift over time and unit-to-unit variation in the sensor materials become, directly, a problem of data quality. The view from our explainer on biomarkers and clinical endpoints, that "a measurement is a system of materials," applies to RWD as well.

9. Drug lag and drug loss

The MHLW describes drug loss as a state in which a drug approved in Europe or the US has not had development started in JapanSourced. A state in which development is under way in Japan but approval is late is generally called drug lag (our commentary).

Figures shown in an MHLW meeting document (29 September 2025)
  • Of the new active substances approved in Europe and the US in 2016-2020, the number not approved in Japan by the end of 2022 (unapproved drugs) is 143Sourced
  • Of these, the number with no domestic development started (no development information as of March 2023) is 86 (60.1%)Sourced
  • The 86 not started include relatively large shares of venture-origin, orphan (rare disease) and pediatric drugs, and drugs that are none of those number 14 (16%)Sourced

Calculating from theseOur calculation:

  • Unapproved drugs in or planned for development: 143 - 86 = 57 (the document's table also shows 57)
  • Not-started drugs that are venture-origin, orphan or pediatric: 86 - 14 = 72 (about 84%)

Assumptions and limits: how drugs are counted (new active substances, year of approval in Europe or the US, reference date) follows the definitions in the document. The document states that the tally was prepared by the Japan Pharmaceutical Manufacturers Association's Office of Pharmaceutical Industry Research (OPIR) and compiled by the MHLW.

Documents and medicines evoke development not yet started in Japan
AI-generated conceptual image reused from the Japanese edition. Visual companion to Fig. 6. The depicted files and medicines do not encode the reported numbers of products. Exact counts and sources remain below.
The 143 drugs approved in the US or Europe but not in Japan (includes our calculation) New active substances approved in the US or Europe in 2016-2020. Band length is proportional to the count No domestic development started: 86 drugs (60.1%) = drug loss In development etc.: 57 drugs 143 - 86 (our calculation) Venture-origin, orphan or pediatric: 72 drugs 14 drugs Of the 86 not started: 72 are in one of those groups (about 84%, our calculation) / 14 are in none (16%) Most new drugs that do not reach Japan are not "developed slowly"; their development has not started * 143 drugs, 86 drugs (60.1%) and 14 drugs (16%): MHLW meeting document [Ref. 18]. * 57 drugs, 72 drugs and about 84% are our calculations by subtraction. * The lower bands show the 86 not-started drugs at the same scale as the upper band (86 drugs = 385 px).
Fig. 6. Drawn partly from our calculation (vector drawing). The 143, 86 and 14 drugs are from the MHLW meeting document of 29 September 2025 [Ref. 18]. The 57 drugs, 72 drugs and about 84% were calculated for this article and are not published values. The lower bands show the 86 not-started drugs at the same scale as the upper band (86 drugs = 385 px).

As one countermeasure, an MHLW notification of 25 December 2023 said that for drugs whose clinical development began overseas, a Phase I study in Japanese people before Japan joins a multiregional clinical trial need not, in principle, be run additionally, except where it is considered necessarySourced. As background, the notification cites the growing number of cases, centered on innovative drugs whose early development is done by emerging overseas biopharmaceutical companies, in which Japan's participation is considered only after early clinical development has progressed overseasSourced. It adds, however, that for drugs with a narrow safety margin and similar cases, whether a Japanese Phase I study is needed will be judged more carefullySourced.

An addition from the materials side (our commentary)

That many not-started drugs are venture-origin also bears on the materials supply chain. For a drug from an overseas start-up to be developed and approved in Japan, how the drug substance, excipients and container materials used in it are handled under Japan's system (the MF and so on) also has to be settled. As seen in Chapter 4, for a foreign manufacturer to register an MF, a domestic administrator must be appointed and the documents written in JapaneseSourced. Drug loss can thus be seen as a problem that is not only about clinical trials but also includes the effort of bringing materials and manufacturing information into Japanese review.

10. Open issues, and what has not been settled

(1) How far RWE can show "effectiveness"

The FDA says use of RWE for effectiveness has traditionally been more limitedSourced, and the 2021 example also had the conditions of an objective outcome, a clear natural history and evidence from other studiesSourced. As of our research (September 2026), a general rule for the conditions under which RWE can demonstrate effectiveness cannot be said to be establishedNot yet confirmed.

(2) Where the new expedited mechanisms are heading

The US CNPV (which aims to cut review to 1-2 months) is at the stage where its first actions have been takenSourced. The FDA guidance that would put the new Accelerated Approval rules (the 2023 legal amendment) into practice was also still a draft as of December 2024Sourced. How either will be put into operation is Not yet confirmed.

(3) The effect of drug-loss countermeasures

How far measures such as the rethinking of Japanese Phase I studies, and requests and open calls for development of not-started drugs, will reduce the number of not-started drugs is something for which no confirmable results exist as of our researchNot yet confirmed.

Summary of this article
  • From the stage of the trial notification (IND), information on composition, stability and manufacturing controls is requiredSourced
  • The dossier is the five modules of the CTD. Module 3 is qualitySourced
  • DMFs and MFs protect a materials maker's know-how. But changes must be notified in writing to those who refer to them (US)Sourced
  • With expedited programs the review guide is about 33% shorter in the US, about 29% in the EU and 50% for Sakigake drugs in Japan (definitions differ by country)Our calculation
  • Of the FDA's 46 novel drugs in 2025, 72% used an expedited programSourced
  • RWE has begun to be used in approvals, for example for new indications of approved drugs (the 2021 lung transplant example)Sourced
  • Of Japan's 143 unapproved drugs, development of 86 has not startedSourced

11. Glossary

IND
The US investigational new drug application. Filed with the FDA to start clinical trials. A trial cannot begin until 30 calendar days after submission.
Clinical trial notification (CTN)
The notification filed before a trial in Japan. For a first notification of a new active ingredient and similar, the trial can start after 30 days from notification.
NDA / BLA
The US new drug application (small molecules and others) and biologics license application.
MAA
The EU marketing authorisation application. Under the centralised procedure it is evaluated by the EMA's CHMP.
CTD
The Common Technical Document: a dossier format shared by Japan, the US and Europe. Five modules; Module 3 is quality.
CMC
Chemistry, manufacturing and controls. The part of a dossier on manufacturing and quality.
DMF
The US Drug Master File. A way to submit confidential information on facilities, processes and articles to the FDA.
MF (Master File)
Japan's comparable system. Allows review without disclosing know-how to the applicant for the finished drug. Voluntary registration.
Breakthrough Therapy
The US designation for breakthrough therapies. Brings intensive guidance from Phase I.
Priority Review
The US priority review. The goal for action is 6 months (standard is 10 months).
PRIME
The EU priority medicines scheme, launched 2016. Opens the way to early advice and accelerated assessment.
Conditional marketing authorisation (EU)
An authorisation granted on less clinical data. Valid for 1 year, renewed annually, with specific obligations.
Sakigake designation
Japan's designation system for pioneering medicinal products. Requirements are innovativeness, seriousness, high effectiveness and early filing in Japan. Review target 6 months.
Conditional approval (Japan)
A system that approves without requiring confirmatory clinical trial results, on condition of post-marketing studies and the like.
RWD
Real-world data. Medical data routinely collected, such as electronic health records, claims data and registries.
RWE
Real-world evidence. Clinical evidence obtained from analysis of RWD.
Drug loss
A state in which a drug approved in Europe or the US has not had development started in Japan.
MID-NET
A medical information database operated by the PMDA. Can use data from 9 cooperating medical institutions.

12. References

  1. FDA "Investigational New Drug (IND) Application" (page updated 16 September 2026) — fda.gov
  2. Pharmaceuticals and Medical Devices Agency (PMDA) "Clinical trial plan notification system for drugs" (in Japanese) — pmda.go.jp
  3. ICH "CTD — M4: The Common Technical Document" — ich.org
  4. FDA "Guidance for Industry: Expedited Programs for Serious Conditions – Drugs and Biologics." May 2014 (PDF) — fda.gov
  5. FDA "Breakthrough Therapy" — fda.gov
  6. FDA "Expedited Program for Serious Conditions — Accelerated Approval of Drugs and Biologics — Guidance for Industry (Draft)." December 2024 (PDF) — fda.gov
  7. European Medicines Agency "PRIME: priority medicines" — ema.europa.eu
  8. European Medicines Agency "Accelerated assessment" — ema.europa.eu
  9. European Medicines Agency "Conditional marketing authorisation" — ema.europa.eu
  10. Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare (MHLW) "On the Sakigake designation system for pioneering medicinal products" (in Japanese) — mhlw.go.jp
  11. MHLW, Pharmaceutical Evaluation Division "On the Sakigake designation system for pioneering medicinal products (Sakigake review designation system)," Document 2, 9th Evaluation and Monitoring Committee on Pharmaceutical Administration, 14 September 2022 (PDF, in Japanese) — mhlw.go.jp
  12. MHLW, Director of the Pharmaceutical Evaluation Division "Partial revision of 'Handling of conditional approval of medicinal products,'" Notification Iyaku-shinsa-hatsu 1023 No. 2, 23 October 2024 (including the revised notification; in Japanese) — mhlw.go.jp
  13. U.S. Congress "21st Century Cures Act," Public Law 114-255, 13 December 2016 (Sec. 3022 Real World Evidence) — govinfo.gov
  14. FDA "Real-World Evidence" (page updated 3 June 2026) — fda.gov
  15. FDA "FDA approves new use of transplant drug based on real-world evidence." 16 July 2021 — fda.gov
  16. European Medicines Agency "Data Analysis and Real World Interrogation Network (DARWIN EU)" — ema.europa.eu
  17. Pharmaceuticals and Medical Devices Agency (PMDA) "MID-NET (Medical Information Database Network)" (in Japanese) — pmda.go.jp
  18. MHLW "Efforts toward resolving drug loss (from FY2024): status of deliberations," Document 2-3, 65th Meeting of the Study Group on Unapproved and Off-Label Drugs of High Medical Need, 29 September 2025 (PDF, in Japanese) — mhlw.go.jp
  19. MHLW, Director of the Pharmaceutical Evaluation Division "Basic approach to conducting Phase I studies in Japanese people before the start of multiregional clinical trials for drugs whose clinical development began overseas," Notification Iyaku-shinsa-hatsu 1225 No. 2, 25 December 2023 (in Japanese) — mhlw.go.jp
  20. FDA "Drug Master Files (DMFs)" — fda.gov
  21. eCFR (US Code of Federal Regulations) "21 CFR 314.420 Drug master files" — ecfr.gov
  22. Pharmaceuticals and Medical Devices Agency (PMDA) "Master Files (MF) for drug substances and similar" (in Japanese) — pmda.go.jp
  23. FDA (CDER) "Advancing Health Through Innovation: New Drug Therapy Approvals 2025" (PDF) — fda.gov

13. Claim-to-source audit

Claim in the textBasisCategory
The IND is how a sponsor obtains the exemption from the FDA; the three areas an IND requires (animal pharmacology and toxicology studies, information on composition, manufacturer, stability and controls of the drug substance and product, and clinical protocols and investigator information); a trial may not begin until 30 calendar days after IND submission, during which the FDA reviews from a safety standpointFDA IND page. Reference 1 https://www.fda.gov/drugs/types-applications/investigational-new-drug-application-indSourced
A person who files a clinical trial plan notification for the first time for a new active ingredient and similar may not ask for or start a trial until 30 days have passed from the notification date; a sample for writing up the evaluation and control status of DNA-reactive (mutagenic) impurities to attach to the notification is publishedPMDA page on the clinical trial plan notification system. Reference 2 https://www.pmda.go.jp/review-services/trials/0004.htmlSourced
The statement that agreeing on the CTD transformed review processes; the CTD has five modules, with Module 1 region-specific and Modules 2 to 5 intended to be common; the content of each module (Module 3 is quality); agreement in November 2000; mandatory in the EU and Japan in 2003 and at the US FDA in 2017ICH CTD page. Reference 3 https://www.ich.org/page/ctdSourced
The comparison of the four expedited programs; Breakthrough Therapy added to section 506(a) by FDASIA section 902; Priority Review's goal of action within 6 months of receipt with a standard review of 10 months; under the PDUFA V "Program" (new molecular entity NDAs and original BLAs received 1 October 2012 to 30 September 2017) the review clock starts at the end of the 60-calendar-day filing period; manufacturing and product quality considerations (the need for faster manufacturing development, a commercial production plan that can supply a quality-assured product at approval, consideration of market demand, manufacturing facilities and lifecycle process validation, early CMC submission and inspection readiness, coordination with contract manufacturers, flexibility on stability updates, validation policy, inspection planning and scale-up). Issued May 2014FDA guidance on expedited programs. Reference 4 https://www.fda.gov/media/86377/downloadSourced
The definition of Breakthrough Therapy (serious condition, preliminary clinical evidence, substantial improvement over available therapy on a clinically significant endpoint), and that it brings all Fast Track features, intensive guidance from Phase I and senior-manager involvementFDA Breakthrough Therapy page. Reference 5 https://www.fda.gov/patients/fast-track-breakthrough-therapy-accelerated-approval-priority-review/breakthrough-therapySourced
The FDA guidance putting Accelerated Approval into practice was a draft as of December 2024; Accelerated Approval requires confirmatory trialsFDA Accelerated Approval draft guidance. Reference 6 https://www.fda.gov/media/184120/downloadSourced
PRIME is an EMA scheme for unmet medical needs, launched in 2016, with early CHMP/CAT rapporteur appointment, a kick-off meeting, iterative scientific advice and possible eligibility for accelerated assessment at the time of the marketing authorisation applicationEMA PRIME page. Reference 7 https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/human-regulatory-overview/research-development/prime-priority-medicinesSourced
Evaluation under the centralised procedure can take up to 210 days excluding clock stops; the CHMP can shorten it to 150 days given sufficient justificationEMA Accelerated assessment page. Reference 8 https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/human-regulatory-overview/marketing-authorisation/accelerated-assessmentSourced
A conditional marketing authorisation is granted on less clinical data than normal where the benefit of immediate availability outweighs the risk of additional data still being required; valid for 1 year and renewable annually; convertible to a standard authorisation once specific obligations are met; for public health emergencies, less comprehensive pharmaceutical and non-clinical data may be acceptedEMA Conditional marketing authorisation page. Reference 9 https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/human-regulatory-overview/marketing-authorisation/conditional-marketing-authorisationSourced
The four Sakigake requirements (innovativeness, including "use of an innovative drug delivery system"; seriousness; very high effectiveness; intent and capability to develop and file early in Japan ahead of the world); filing within 3 months of the first country's filing date is regarded as simultaneous; a pilot from FY2015 and legislation through the 2019 amendment; priority consultation, enhanced pre-assessment, priority review and a concierge; using quality consultations so that a GMP inspection can be carried out promptly after filing, and preparing at filing the timing of production-scale validation data and the dates the site can accommodate a GMP inspection; the aim of keeping the period from filing to approval within 6 monthsMHLW page on the Sakigake designation system. Reference 10 https://www.mhlw.go.jp/stf/seisakunitsuite/bunya/kenkou_iryou/iyakuhin/tp150514-01_00001.htmlSourced
Under Sakigake priority review the target for total review time goes from 12 months to 6 monthsMHLW committee document (14 September 2022). Reference 11 https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/10601000/000989609.pdfSourced
The eligibility requirements for conditional approval (seriousness, clear medical superiority, confirmatory trials being difficult or taking considerable time, a certain level of efficacy and safety); that post-approval confirmation can use post-marketing studies and studies using medical information databases such as MID-NET and patient registries; the dates of the notification (31 August 2020, revised 23 October 2024)MHLW notification on conditional approval. Reference 12 https://www.mhlw.go.jp/web/t_doc?dataId=00tc8778&dataType=1&pageNo=1Sourced
The 21st Century Cures Act was enacted on 13 December 2016; section 3022 adds FD&C Act section 505F and requires a program to evaluate the use of RWE to support new indications of approved drugs and to support or satisfy postapproval study requirements; the statutory definition of RWE; the contents of the framework (sources, gaps in data collection, standards and methodologies and so on); a draft framework within 2 years of enactmentPublic Law 114-255 (govinfo). Reference 13 https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/PLAW-114publ255/html/PLAW-114publ255.htmSourced
The definitions of RWD and RWE; examples of RWD (electronic health records, claims data, product and disease registries, digital health technologies and so on); long use in postapproval safety monitoring and more limited use for effectiveness; the 2018 frameworkFDA Real-World Evidence page. Reference 14 https://www.fda.gov/science-research/science-and-research-special-topics/real-world-evidenceSourced
On 16 July 2021 a new use of Prograf (tacrolimus) for lung transplant was approved based on RWE from a non-interventional (observational) study; SRTR RWD and Social Security Administration death records; a well-designed non-interventional study based on fit-for-purpose RWD and compared with an appropriate control can be considered an adequate and well-controlled study; comparison with natural history; randomized controlled trials in other solid-organ transplants served as confirmatory evidenceFDA news release (16 July 2021). Reference 15 https://www.fda.gov/drugs/news-events-human-drugs/fda-approves-new-use-transplant-drug-based-real-world-evidenceSourced
DARWIN EU was established in 2022; it uses real-world databases; about 250 million patients (2026), about 110 studies (since 2022) and about 40 data partners (as of 2026); uses of its studies include supporting the monitoring and prevention of shortagesEMA DARWIN EU page. Reference 16 https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/about-us/how-we-work/data-regulation-big-data-other-sources/real-world-evidence/data-analysis-real-world-interrogation-network-darwin-euSourced
MID-NET is a medical information database that can use electronic medical records, claims and DPC data from 9 cooperating medical institutions in Japan, and is managed and operated by the PMDAPMDA MID-NET page. Reference 17 https://www.pmda.go.jp/safety/mid-net/0001.htmlSourced
Of the new active substances approved in Europe and the US in 2016-2020, 143 were unapproved in Japan at the end of 2022; 86 (60.1%) had no domestic development as of March 2023; relatively large shares of venture-origin, orphan and pediatric drugs; 14 (16%) are none of those; the compiler's statementMHLW meeting document (29 September 2025). Reference 18 https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/11121000/001568902.pdfSourced
For drugs whose clinical development began overseas, a Phase I study in Japanese people before the start of a multiregional clinical trial need not in principle be run additionally unless considered necessary; the background of a growing number of cases centered on innovative drugs developed early by emerging overseas biopharmaceutical companies; more careful judgment for drugs with a narrow safety margin; the date of the notificationMHLW notification (Iyaku-shinsa-hatsu 1225 No. 2). Reference 19 https://www.mhlw.go.jp/web/t_doc?dataId=00tc8153&dataType=1&pageNo=1Sourced
A DMF is a submission to the FDA providing confidential, detailed information about facilities, processes or articles; it is not required by law; it is neither approved nor disapproved, and its technical content is reviewed within the review of the application that refers to itFDA DMF page. Reference 20 https://www.fda.gov/drugs/forms-submission-requirements/drug-master-files-dmfsSourced
What a DMF can contain (drug substances and intermediates and the materials used to make them, packaging materials, excipients, colorants, flavors and the materials used to make them, and so on); when a DMF holder adds, changes or deletes information it must notify in writing each party authorized to refer to it21 CFR 314.420 (eCFR). Reference 21 https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-21/chapter-I/subchapter-D/part-314/subpart-G/section-314.420Sourced
The MF system registers information on manufacturing method, manufacturing control and quality control in advance and puts it into review without disclosing know-how to the applicant for the finished drug; registration is voluntary; a foreign manufacturer must appoint a domestic administrator for drug substances and write the documents in JapanesePMDA MF page. Reference 22 https://www.pmda.go.jp/review-services/drug-reviews/master-files/0007.htmlSourced
46 CDER novel drugs in 2025; Fast Track 18 (39%), Breakthrough Therapy 15 (33%), Priority Review 21 (46%), Accelerated Approval 11 (24%), one or more 33 (72%); approved first in the US 32 (70%); approved in the first review cycle 39 (85%); PDUFA goal dates met 44 (96%); the CNPV aims to cut review from 10-12 months to 1-2 months and its first actions have been takenFDA (CDER) annual report 2025. Reference 23 https://www.fda.gov/media/190705/downloadSourced
Month conversions of the review guide (US about 12 and about 8 months, EU 6.9 and 4.9 months, Japan 12 and 6 months) and reductions (33%, 29%, 50%). The 13 drugs (28%) that used none of the expedited programs in 2025. 57 drugs in development and similar; 72 drugs (about 84%) that are venture-origin, orphan or pediatricOur calculation. 1 month = 30.4 days; the US 60 days reflects PDUFA V; the EU figures exclude clock stops. Because period definitions differ by country this is not a comparison between countries. Drug counts are differences between published figuresOur calculation
The future scope of the CNPV, the operation of the new Accelerated Approval rules, a general rule for the conditions under which RWE can show effectiveness, and the reduction of not-started drugs through drug-loss countermeasuresAs of the research for this article (September 2026), no confirmed primary source could be found (commentary)Not yet confirmed
Organizing expedited programs into three groups by "what is speeded up"; reading DMF and MF change notification as "a materials maker's process improvement is a regulatory event for the customer"; the reading that with expedited programs stability data, scale-up and quality data for new materials are brought forward; the organization that a DDS can be grounds for innovativeness yet brings in new materials; treating RWD as the raw material and RWE as the conclusion; the addition that sensor materials in digital health technologies affect data quality; viewing drug loss as a problem that includes the effort of bringing materials and manufacturing information into Japanese review; the general explanation of drug lagOrganization and commentary by this article based on published content; not views expressed by the FDA, EMA, MHLW, PMDA or ICHCommentary
Evaluation of the effect, clinical results or safety of any individual drugNot covered: this article explains how approval systems meet materials and manufacturing, and makes no assessment of treatment effect or safety. The 2021 example quotes only what the FDA published about how RWE is used in regulation (commentary)Commentary
Figures combine ImageGen-generated explanatory images with vector drawings, distinguished from real objects and measured imagesNote by this articleCommentary

Last updated: 26 September 2026 / Sources are limited to primary sources (publications and notifications of the FDA, EMA, MHLW and PMDA, public information from ICH, and US law and federal regulations). Because the article includes readings of the systems and of materials and manufacturing issues, these are separated as "Commentary" from sourced facts. Because review periods differ by country in their start point and treatment of interruptions, the month conversions in Chapter 6 are for seeing the gap between standard and expedited review within one country, not for comparing countries. The operation of the CNPV and the new Accelerated Approval rules, the conditions under which RWE can show effectiveness, and the effect of drug-loss countermeasures are marked "Not yet confirmed" because there is no confirmed primary source. This article explains approval systems; it does not evaluate the effect or safety of any individual drug, and it is not medical advice. All figures are explanatory concept diagrams. Figures combine ImageGen-generated explanatory images with vector drawings. Generated images are not photographs, microscope images or measured data of real objects. The original diagrams with numbers and sources are either shown as they are or kept in a form that expands below the new image.

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